Rare Events, Tipping Points, and Abrupt Changes in the Climate System

Presentations

• The Path to the next IPCC Assessment: Known Knowns and Known Unknowns

  ORAL · Invited

  March 14, 2022, 9:00 AM – March 14, 2022, 9:36 AM

  Publication: IPCC, 2021: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth<br>Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L.<br>Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R.<br>Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In<br>Press. URL: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/

  Presenters

  • William Collins

    Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

  Authors

  • William Collins

    Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

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• This Climate is Changing

  ORAL

  March 14, 2022, 9:36 AM – March 14, 2022, 9:48 AM

  Presenters

  • Juan M Restrepo

    Oak Ridge National Lab

  Authors

  • Juan M Restrepo

    Oak Ridge National Lab

  • Michael E Mann

    Pennsylvania State University

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• Lévy-noise versus Gaussian-noise-induced Transitions in the Ghil-Sellers Energy Balance Model

  ORAL

  March 14, 2022, 9:48 AM – March 14, 2022, 10:00 AM

  Publication: V. Lucarini, L. Serdukova, G. Margazoglou, Lévy-noise versus Gaussian-noise-induced Transitions in the Ghil-Sellers Energy Balance Model, arXiv:2110.10793 [cond-mat.stat-mech] (2021)

  Presenters

  • Valerio Lucarini

    University of Reading

  Authors

  • Valerio Lucarini

    University of Reading

  • Larissa Serdukova

    University of Reading

  • Georgios Margazoglou

    University of Reading

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• Atmospheric dynamics across scales: Jet streams and gravity waves

  ORAL · Invited

  March 14, 2022, 10:00 AM – March 14, 2022, 10:36 AM

  Presenters

  • Aditi Sheshadri

    Stanford

  Authors

  • Aditi Sheshadri

    Stanford

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• Interpretable transfer learning: Applications to climate change modeling

  ORAL

  March 14, 2022, 10:36 AM – March 14, 2022, 10:48 AM

  Presenters

  • Pedram Hassanzadeh

    Rice

  Authors

  • Pedram Hassanzadeh

    Rice

  • Adam Subel

    Rice Univ

  • Ashesh K Chattopadhyay

    Rice University

  • YIFEI GUAN

    Rice University

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• Learning a weather dictionary of atmospheric patterns using Latent Dirichlet Allocation to study climate change &amp; extreme events

  ORAL

  March 14, 2022, 10:48 AM – March 14, 2022, 11:00 AM

  Publication: Lucas Fery, Berengere Dubrulle, Berengere Podvin, Flavio Pons, Davide Faranda. Learning a weather dictionary of atmospheric patterns using Latent Dirichlet Allocation. 2021. ⟨hal-03258523⟩

  Presenters

  • Davide Faranda

    CEA-Saclay

  Authors

  • Davide Faranda

    CEA-Saclay

  • Lucas Fery

    ENS Lyon

  • Berengere Dubrulle

    SPEC CEA Saclay, CNRS

  • Berengere Podvin

    LISN, Orsay France

  • Flavio Pons

    CNRS CEA Saclay

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• Short weather forecasts inform long-term climatology of sudden stratospheric warming

  ORAL

  March 14, 2022, 11:00 AM – March 14, 2022, 11:12 AM

  Presenters

  • Justin M Finkel

    Committee on Computational and Applied Mathematics, University of Chicago

  Authors

  • Justin M Finkel

    Committee on Computational and Applied Mathematics, University of Chicago

  • Dorian S Abbot

    Department of Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago

  • Edwin P Gerber

    Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University

  • Jonathan Q Weare

    Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University

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• Understanding extremes in a warming climate: On acknowledging uncertainty, embracing complexity, and asking societally relevant questions

  ORAL · Invited

  March 14, 2022, 11:12 AM – March 14, 2022, 11:48 AM

  Presenters

  • Daniel Swain

    University of California, Los Angeles

  Authors

  • Daniel Swain

    University of California, Los Angeles

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