APS Logo

Superspreading k-cores at the center of COVID-19 pandemic persistence

ORAL

Abstract

The spread of COVID-19 caused by the recently discovered SARS-CoV-2 virus has become a worldwide problem with devastating consequences. To slow down the spread of the pandemic, mass quarantines have been implemented globally, provoking further social and economic disruptions. Here, we implement a comprehensive contact tracing network analysis to find the optimal quarantine protocol to dismantle the chain of transmission of coronavirus with minimal disruptions to society. Our analysis indicates that superspreading k-core structures persist in the transmission network to prolong the pandemic. Once the k-cores are identified, the optimal strategy to break the chain of transmission is to quarantine a minimal number of 'weak links' with high betweenness centrality connecting the large k-cores.

Presenters

  • matteo serafino

    Networks, IMT Lucca, IMT Alti Studi Lucca

Authors

  • matteo serafino

    Networks, IMT Lucca, IMT Alti Studi Lucca

  • Higor S. Monteiro

    Departamento de Fisica,, Universidade Federal do Ceara

  • Shaojun Luo

    Levich Institute and Physics Department, City College of New York

  • Saulo D. S. Reis

    Departamento de Fisica,, Universidade Federal do Ceara

  • Carles Igual

    Departamento de Comunicaciones, Universitat Politecnica de Valencia

  • Antonio S. Lima Neto

    epartment of Epidemiological Surveillance, Fortaleza Health Secretariat

  • Matias Travizan

    Grandata, Inc,

  • Jose Soares De Andrade Jr

    Departamento de Fisica,, Universidade Federal do Ceara

  • Hernan A Makse

    Levich Institute and Physics Department, City College of New York