Canonical Sectors and Evolution of Firms in the US Stock Markets

ORAL

Abstract

In this work, we show how unsupervised machine learning can provide a more objective and comprehensive broad-level sector decomposition of stocks. Classification of companies into sectors of the economy is important for macroeconomic analysis, and for investments into the sector-specific financial indices and exchange traded funds (ETFs). Historically, these major industrial classification systems and financial indices have been based on expert opinion and developed manually. Our method, in contrast, produces an emergent low-dimensional structure in the space of historical stock price returns. This emergent structure automatically identifies ``canonical sectors'' in the market, and assigns every stock a participation weight into these sectors. Furthermore, by analyzing data from different periods, we show how these weights for listed firms have evolved over time.

Authors

  • Lorien Hayden

    Cornell University

  • Ricky Chachra

    Cornell University

  • Alexander Alemi

    Cornell University, LASSP, Department of Physics, Clark Hall, Cornell University

  • Paul Ginsparg

    Cornell University

  • James Sethna

    Cornell University, LASSP, Department of Physics, Clark Hall, Cornell University, Department of Physics, Cornell University