Social consensus and tipping points with opinion inertia

ORAL

Abstract

When opinions, behaviors or ideas diffuse within a population, some are invariably more sticky than others. The stickier the opinion, the greater an individual's inertia to replace it with an alternative. Here we study the effect of stickiness of opinions in a two-opinion model, where individuals change their opinion only after a certain number of consecutive encounters with the alternative opinion.\footnote{C. Doyle \textit{et al}, preprint arXiv:1411.1723} We focus on the scenario where initially a minority of the population adopts an opinion that is as sticky or stickier than that of the majority, and investigate how the critical size of the initial minority required to tip the entire population over to its opinion, depends on the stickiness of the minority opinion. We analyze this scenario for a complete-graph topology through simulations, and through a semi- analytical approach which yields an upper bound for the critical minority size. We present analogous simulation results for the case of the Erdos-Renyi random network. Finally, we investigate the coarsening properties of sticky opinion spreading on two- dimensional lattices, and show that the presence of stickiness gives rise to an effective surface tension that causes the coarsening behavior to become curvature-driven.

Authors

  • Casey Doyle

    Rensselaer Polytech Institute

  • Sameet Sreenivasan

    Rensselaer Polytech Institute

  • Boleslaw K. Szymanski

    Rensselaer Polytech Institute, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

  • Gyorgy Korniss

    Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, RPI, Rensselaer Polytech Institute