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Quantifying Resolution Limits in Pedestal Profile Measurements with Gaussian Process Regression

POSTER

Abstract

Pedestals are associated with steep rises in plasma pressure over short length scales, which make them attractive for confinement but also challenging to diagnose experimentally. In this work, we use Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) to develop metrics for quantifying the spatiotemporal resolution limits of inferring differentiable profiles of temperature, pressure, or other quantities from experimental measurements. Although we focus on pedestals, the methods are fully general and can be applied to any setting involving the inference of profiles from discrete measurements. First, we establish a correspondence between GPR and low-pass filtering and compute an effective cutoff frequency associated with smoothing incurred by GPR. Second, we introduce an information-theoretic metric, \(N_{eff}\), which measures the effective number of data points contributing to the inferred value of a profile or its derivative. These metrics enable a quantitative assessment of the trade-off between `over-fitting' and `over-regularization', providing both practitioners and consumers of GPR with a systematic way to evaluate the credibility of inferred profiles. We apply these tools to develop practical advice for using GPR in both time-independent and time-dependent settings, and demonstrate their usage on inferring pedestal profiles using measurements from the DIII-D tokamak.

Publication: arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.05067

Presenters

  • Norman M. Cao

    Insititute for Fusion Studies

Authors

  • Norman M. Cao

    Insititute for Fusion Studies

  • David R Hatch

    University of Texas at Austin, IFS, University of Texas

  • Craig Michoski

    SapientAI LLC

  • Todd A. Oliver

    Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences

  • David Eldon

    General Atomics

  • Andrew O Nelson

    Columbia University

  • Matthew Waller

    Sapientai